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Open Thread: Texas Tech Red Raiders at No. 3 Texas Longhorns

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Game 23: Texas Tech Red Raiders (11-12, 3-5) at Texas Longhorns (19-3, 7-0)Saturday, February 5, 2011 · 8:00 p.m. CT

Frank Erwin Center (16,734) · Austin, TX
TV: ESPNU · Radio: 1300 AM / 98.1 FM

Previews: Longhorn Road Trip / / Statesman on Gary Johnson

First Meeting: Texas 83-52 in Lubbock Burnt Orange Nation Game Review

Ken Pom Prediction: 86-60 Texas (71 tempo)

Tech Offense Tech Defense STATS Texas Offense Texas Defense
105.2 (98) 104.0 (215) Efficiency 114.3 (21) 82.5 (1)
49.4 (154) 50.1 (206) eFG% 51.2 (82) 39.8 (1)
19.0 (94) 19.8 (210) TO% 17.7 (39) 19.4 (232)
31.3 (223) 35.3 (278) OR% 37.1 (28) 30.1 (76)
37.7 (185) 38.9 (192) FTRate 44.3 (45) 30.1 (41)

Quick keys to the game after the jump...

1. Shut-down Mike Singletary and John Roberson. The Red Raiders have no shot to upset the 'Horns unless both of these guys go off. Singletary is a big-body, who has the potential to get the Longhorn front court in foul trouble, and Roberson is the only Red Raider who is a thread to hit from deep. In the 'Horns' 31-point victory in Lubbock, Singletary was limited to five points and eight boards, while Roberson tallied just two points. Given the way the 'Horns are playing defense, there is little to worry about in the rematch.

2. Dominate the Glass. As seen in the KemPom numbers above, these teams rebound the ball very differently. Basically, Texas crashes the glass effectively on both ends, and Tech barely competes on either end. Expect Texas to dominate points in the paint and second chance points.

3. Focus. This is the biggest mismatch left on the Texas schedule. If the 'Horns come out early and execute, this one will be over by halftime. However, if the Longhorns aren't up for the game, the Tech motion offense could generate high-percentage looks and could keep the Red Raiders in the game past halftime.

Prediction: Texas rolls, 78-58.