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Texas Recruiting 2012: Quarterback Big Board

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Needs: One

Name School JD invite? Offer?

Commitment/ odds

Quick take
Connor Brewer
Chaparral (AZ)
Feb. 26
Extremely likely
75% A decidedly pro-style quarterback, Brewer has solid size at 6-2 and decent athleticism. It's his accuracy on the deep ball that will endear him to Bryan Harsin, who recruited Brewer while at Boise State and helped his high school coaches install Bronco offense at Chaparral. Older sister is a swimmer at Texas. Could commit at the second Junior Day. National recruit. Onto the Radar scouting report.
Trevor Knight
SA Reagan
Feb. 12 Possible 99% Knight has better arm strength than Brewer and is a better athlete, but lacks his overall polish as a passer. Lifelong Texas fan. Would almost certainly commit if offered.
Matt Davis
Klein Forest
Unknown (will not attend any Junior Days)
Unlikely 15% Explosive athlete with off-the-charts playmaking ability with the ball in his hands. Mechanics are sloppy, but has solid arm strength. Blown ACL in first game of 2010 slowed his development as a passer. Texas coaches may not like the fact that he's not making any Junior Day visits because he wants more personal attention than the crowded events can provide. Longhorns could pursue him as an athlete. My early preference, before Brewer surfaced on the radar.

Overview -- The Longhorns were lucky to be able to land top target David Ash in the 2011 class and may get lucky again with Connor Brewer. Looking towards the future, it's unlikely that all four quarterback taken in the 2010 through 2012 class (Connor Wood, Case McCoy, Ash, and the 2012 commitment) will last long in the program -- one of them will transfer, likely the loser in the competition for the back-up job. Wood or McCoy in other words, assuming that Garrett Gilbert manages to remain a starter.

Basically, this isn't a position of major need this season with the recent commitments. However, the recent past suggests that quarterbacks are notoriously hard to keep in the program if they don't have a chance at starting (or even get them on campus, as de-commits from Riley Dodge and John Brantley suggest), so the numbers could thin out quickly, as they did in the early part of the Colt McCoy era. Hence the relatively recent preference of Mack Brown to take a quarterback in every class.

All of that is a long way of saying that if Texas lands Brewer at JD2, recruiting at the position will be considered a major success. Even "settling" for a guy like Trevor Knight, who would be a solid career back-up at the least, wouldn't be a disappointment considering the depth already at the position.

What the Texas coaches have to figure out is what they will do if Brewer doesn't accept the offer from Texas early. If he waits through the spring, does the coaching staff move on to a sure commitment like Knight? How long will Knight wait for Texas if he doesn't get an early offer, as is likely? Will the coaches even wait to evaluate how Matt Davis has progressed as a quarterback?

Wish-y/Watch List

Wish List --

  1. Connor Brewer
  2. Matt Davis
  3. Trevor Knight

The odds are heavy that Brewer receives the first offer given out to a quarterback. While it's less likely that he commits on the spot, Brewer does understand how the recruiting process works at Texas with Mack Brown preferring to prospects who are ready to commit on the spot. Will Brewer pull the trigger at JD2?