For the No. 7 Texas Longhorns, the path to the Big 12 championship game at AT&T Stadium in Arlington on Dec. 2 is simple — if the Longhorns defeat the Texas Tech Red Raiders on Friday at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium, Texas will advance to its first conference title game since 2018.
A loss, however, would significantly muddy the scenario with three teams tied for second play with 6-2 records and three more teams at 5-3 in conference play.
So, on Sunday evening, the conference released an updated look at how things could play out this week — Oklahoma remains in contention with either a win or a loss against TCU on Friday morning in Norman and Texas will clinch a berth and the No. 1 seed with a victory on Friday evening.
Here’s how it looks:
If Texas wins and clinches a berth on Friday, the following scenarios apply surrounding Big 12 matchups on Saturday, November 25:
If Oklahoma State defeats BYU, the Cowboys clinch a berth to the Championship as the #2 seed (vs. Texas).
If Oklahoma defeats TCU on Friday and that win is followed by a Texas win AND an Oklahoma State loss, the Sooners clinch a berth to the Championship as the #2 seed (vs. Texas).
And the further scenarios:
If Texas Tech wins on Friday, the following scenarios apply surrounding Big 12 matchups on Saturday, November 25:
No team can clinch a bid to the Championship until Saturday.
Texas can still clinch a berth to the Championship if two of the three two-loss teams (Kansas State / Oklahoma / Oklahoma State) LOSE on Friday and / or Saturday. Texas and the remaining winning team of those three will qualify for the Championship.
If Texas loses on Friday, and two or three two-loss teams WIN amongst Kansas State / Oklahoma / Oklahoma State on Friday and / or Saturday, there will be three or four teams tied for both Championship berths. Multiple scenarios exist in this circumstance contingent on which teams remain in the tiebreaker pool.
The conference will released updated scenarios after the two Friday games.